基于效果的联合作战行动规划研究

联合作战行动规划是依据联合作战的使命和资源约束建立完成使命的最佳行动过程,通过对交战环境状态、交战主体的资源能力状态、行动、事件和效果的定义,结合人工智能领域解决"计划"问题的研究、军事领域基于效果的作战思想提出了联合作战行动规划模型及策略优选方法.模型结合了马尔可夫决策过程和贝叶斯网络技术来求解交战主体的最优策略,对联合作战设计具有适应性的行动策略做出的初步尝试.     

多传感器任务分派的快速启发式规划新算法

在多目标多传感器管理中经常采用的线性规划算法中,随着传感器个数和目标个数的增加,计算量会爆炸式增长,使得跟踪系统不能实时计算,为此,根据传感器管理中线性规划的特点,提出了一种快速启发式算法,考虑组合中的传感器个数将组合的分配效用转化为权重,递推分配权重最大的组合,逐步减小组合和目标的个数.证明了权重最大的组合分派能实现组合中的传感器的最大效用.仿真结果表明该算法在与采用线性规划方法的跟踪精度相当的情况下,能有效地减小计算量.     

高校评建工作中问题管理模式应用研究

问题管理模式把发现问题作为高校评建工作中经常性的制度内容,把解决问题作为高校评建工作的核心。在高校评建过程中,运用问题管理模式会大大提高评建工作的质量和效率。     

改进加强院校科研项目和经费管理的思考

国务院《关于改进加强中央财政科研项目和资金管理的若干意见》针对我国当前科研项目管理及经费管理存在的重大问题,全面部署了改革的方向和重点。《若干意见》要求加强科研项目的集中统筹和分类管理,规范科研项目的管理流程,加强对项目完成质量要求。同时,要求增强预算编制的合理性、经费使用的规范性与灵活性,并将直接经费与间接经费加以分离。院校应该建立和完善科研项目管理服务体系、经费管理服务体系、内部自查自纠机制,加强配套制度建设,为院校科技创新能力的提升提供制度保障。     

机动输油管线地理信息系统设计与实现

当前机动输油管线勘察与设计资料采用的文件夹分类管理方式,难以管理各类资料间的关联关系,也难以在地图上进行图形数据与属性数据的关联呈现。为了提高机动输油管线战备线路管理能力,建立了管理与辅助决策系统,以ArcGIS作为GIS平台,利用ArcSDE数据库引擎和SQL Server数据库统一管理管线数据,通过ArcEngine组件库和Visual C#对系统的功能模块和应用界面进行整体开发,实现了线路走向、线路资源可视化的规范管理和线路工艺方案、人装配置方案的智能辅助生成,提高了部队战备线路管理水平。     

航天侦察任务的关联度分析与去冗余方法

针对航天侦察需求响应中可能存在的任务重复产生问题,综合考虑任务的需求来源、质量要求、时间偏好及空间范围,提出一种基于任务关联度的任务冗余分析方法。对航天侦察的相关要素进行分析度量,给出了基于4类要素的任务关联度计算方法,提出了通过任务之间的关联度来降低可替代任务产生概率的具体算法,考虑了准确优先、公平优先以及混合等不同情况下的冗余度计算方法,给出一个应用示例,说明所述分析方法的有效性。研究结果表明,该方法具有良好的通用性,可为航天侦察任务的预处理提供有效支持。     

基于动态数据驱动的多UAV实时任务规划

针对在实时动态条件下多UAV任务规划问题,提出了基于动态数据驱动的多UAV实时任务规划仿真平台,主要包括基于MultiUAV2的真实UAV群仿真平台和基于Multi-Agent的预测仿真平台两个部分。采用了A*算法对真实系统工作流进行探索,在此基础之上构建了多UAV合成工作流模型,然后针对动态数据注入运行仿真的问题,研究了传感器任务重置及传感器的预处理方法。最后,通过一个仿真实例验证了提出方法的可行性和有效性。     

Dynamic inventory control with limited capital and short‐term financing

For most firms, especially the small‐ and medium‐sized ones, the operational decisions are affected by their internal capital and ability to obtain external capital. However, the majority of the literature on dynamic inventory control ignores the firm's financial status and financing issues. An important question that arises is: what are the optimal inventory and financing policies for firms with limited internal capital and limited access to external capital? In this article, we study a dynamic inventory control problem where a capital‐constrained firm periodically purchases a product from a supplier and sells it to a market with random demands. In each period, the firm can use its own capital and/or borrow a short‐term loan to purchase the product, with the interest rate being nondecreasing in the loan size. The objective is to maximize the firm's expected terminal wealth at the end of the planning horizon. We show that the optimal inventory policy in each period is an equity‐level‐dependent base‐stock policy, where the equity level is the sum of the firm's capital level and the value of its on‐hand inventory evaluated at the purchasing cost; and the structure of the optimal policy can be characterized by four intervals of the equity level. Our results shed light on the dynamic inventory control for firms with limited capital and short‐term financing capabilities.Copyright © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 184–201, 2014     

Impact of tax reduction policies on consumer purchase of new automobiles: An analytical investigation with real data‐based experiments

We investigate and compare the impact of the tax reduction policies implemented in the United States and China to stimulate consumer purchase of new automobiles and improve manufacturers' profits. The U.S. policy provides each qualifying consumer with a federal income tax deduction on state and local sales and excise taxes paid on the purchase price (up to a cutoff level), whereas the Chinese policy reduces the vehicle sales tax rate for consumers. We observe that these policy designs are consistent with the tax management system and the economic environment in the respective country. We analytically determine the effects of the two tax reduction policies on the automobile sales and the manufacturer's and the retailer's profits. Numerical examples are then used to provide insights on the importance of certain factors that influence the effects of the two policies. Finally, a numerical experiment with sensitivity analysis based on real data is conducted to compare the merits and characteristics of the two policies under comparable conditions. We find that the U.S. policy is better than the Chinese policy in stimulating the sales of high‐end automobiles, whereas the Chinese policy is better than the U.S. policy in improving the sales of low‐end automobiles. The U.S. policy is slightly more effective in increasing the profitability of the automobile supply chain; but, in general, the Chinese policy is more cost effective. The methodology developed herein can be used to evaluate other tax reduction policies such as those related to the purchase of energy‐saving vehicles and to serve as a decision model to guide the choice of alternative tax reduction policies. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 577–598, 2014